StratMap Screens · 2026 Q3 · DATA SCREEN

Queensland: markets by composite screen

Ranked by StratMap on six disclosed questions (the economy question is held neutral in this edition, see the method), from enterprise-level data. Every value carries its source and period. Generated 2026-11-01.
Report refresh: Nov 2026 Updated every 3 months Due in January

LGA reports are refreshed every 3 months. Figures can differ slightly from our suburb reports, which are refreshed monthly and are usually the most current.

Report period: September to December 2026. Enterprise-level data, valid to 31 December 2026. A new report is due in January 2027.
Data screen edition. General information, not a recommendation. The ranking below is a machine pass over the evidence. James reviews, reorders, and writes the strategist view before an edition is published.
How to read this report. Rankings apply a disclosed arithmetic rule to historical data. They are not recommendations to buy anywhere and do not consider your situation. Each market card carries its headline numbers, a radar of the six scores and a table of the suburbs inside its buy band. Every number states its source and period, and the ranking is the same disclosed math on every card.

Every price band on one line

Each bar is that market's middle-half price band. Click a bar to jump to its card.
#2Sunshine Coast
#3Logan City
#4Moreton Bay
$855k$1.97m
How these were picked: the six questions and the scoring

Each market is scored on six questions. Every question is a number from the report grid; every value carries its source and period, and the rail call-outs list theirs under Sources and detail.

  1. How many suburbs a working budget reaches. We count ladder suburbs with a house median at or under $900,000, the budget band most of our clients buy in.
  2. What yield the price band pays. The median gross house yield across the middle of each ladder (the P25 to P75 price slice).
  3. Growth pattern. A low 5 year average with positive 1 year momentum scores higher than a big 5 year number that is already banked.
  4. How tight rentals are. The median house vacancy rate across the ladder.
  5. The shape of the local economy. Gross regional product and the unemployment rate.
  6. How deep the market is. Suburb count and 12 month house sales volume.
Each question is scaled 0 to 1 across the 36-LGA corpus and the six scores are averaged with equal weight. The rank is that average, highest first. The profitable-sales figure is shown where captured but not scored, because only 8 of the 36 markets carry it.
This edition draws from all 4 tracked Queensland LGAs, ranked; the shelf splits into Greater Brisbane and Regional QLD editions as coverage grows.
Markets
#1

Ipswich

QLD
5.9
six question
score / 10
$855,000 to $1,115,000
price band screened
3.12%
yield in band
1.14%
vacancy
5,650
sales 12m
13.53%
house growth
1yr median
Demand and supply
3.5%
Population growth
yr to Jun 2025
3,211
Dwelling approvals
yr to Jun 2025
48,750
Ripley Valley development area
dwellings possible (EDQ)
1.02
New households per dwelling approval
implied, yr to Jun 2025
Investment and jobs
$210M+
Council roads, facilities, open spaces
budget 2026-27
$277M
Mount Crosby Road Interchange
funded 2024
95,532
Local jobs
2024
Sources and detail
Why Ipswich is moving
Population (ABS estimate) up 3.5% in the year to June 2025, 95,532 local jobs in 2024 (as reported by council), Mater Hospital Springfield officially opened 20 May 2026 with 186 beds, and a Ripley Valley priority development area that could potentially house 131,000 people.
Demand against supply, year to June 2025
  • Implied new households3,264
  • Dwelling approvals3,211
  • Households per approval1.02

9,138 new residents at 2.8 people per household. Implied new households and dwelling approvals were roughly level.

Read moreShow less37 sourced points across 6 topics
Demand against supply, in numbers
9,138new residents
÷
2.8people per household
=
3,264new households (implied)
vs
3,211dwelling approvals
=
1.02per dwelling approval

Reading it: a ratio of 1.05 or more means implied new households ran ahead of dwelling approvals; 0.95 or less means approvals ran ahead; anything between is described as roughly level. New households are implied (new residents divided by the 2021 Census household size), approvals are permits rather than completed homes, and one year is a single reading. The "why it matters" lines describe how markets tend to work in general; they are not a forecast for this market.

People and growth

Why it matters: More residents mean more households needing homes. Where dwelling approvals do not keep pace with new households, competition for homes and rentals tends to rise.

More evidence (4)

Jobs and industry

Why it matters: More local jobs can draw workers who want to live nearby, though many residents work elsewhere. A job base spread across several industries depends less on any single employer.

More evidence (3)

Infrastructure and investment

Why it matters: Hospitals, rail, roads, schools and employment precincts can widen the pool of people who live in and travel to an area, which tends to add to housing demand. Delivered, funded and proposed projects carry different certainty.

More evidence (5)

Socio-economic profile

Why it matters: When household incomes rise, buyers can bid higher for the same homes, which tends to lift prices where supply is limited. Median figures show the middle of the market, not the spread.

More evidence (4)

Renewal and neighbourhood change

Why it matters: Where an area shifts towards higher-skilled work and renewed town centres, who buys and what they pay can change, a pattern sometimes called gentrification. These items show the evidence on file, not a verdict.

Caveats and source conflicts

Why it matters: Funding gaps, conflicting sources and dated pages are the places where the evidence is thinner than the headline.

  • After the Australian Government's May 2026 announcement pausing Inland Rail in NSW, council says it is working with both governments and landholders on a path forward for the Ebenezer industrial land. Ipswich City Council, Ebenezer Regional Industrial Area · May 2026
  • Council's 14 May 2026 response to the 12 May 2026 Federal Budget says Ipswich got zero new funding for transport, community and sporting infrastructure; its asks included the Springfield corridor and Amberley Interchange. Ipswich City Council, Federal Budget response, 14 May 2026 · Federal Budget 12 May 2026; council response 14 May 2026
  • Mount Crosby Road Interchange has $277 million in joint 50:50 Queensland and Australian funding (2024). Council says added EPBC Act ecological surveys pushed design finalisation back about 18 months, to a revised target of mid-2026. Ipswich City Council, Critical and Enabling Infrastructure advocacy · 2024 funding
More evidence (4)
  • Council's advocacy page cites a $92 million catalytic funding shortfall for the Ripley Valley priority development area and gives Ripley Road funding as $57.9 million (Queensland, Aug 2025) and $24 million (Economic Development Queensland, Nov 2024), against more than $108 million over three years in its 2026-27 budget. Ipswich City Council, Critical and Enabling Infrastructure advocacy · Announcements August 2025 and November 2024; FY2026-27 budget
  • Population at 30 June 2025 differs by source: ABS estimated resident population is 268,272, while council's planning report card gives 265,854, a gap of 2,418 people. Ipswich City Council Planning and Regulatory Services report card · 30 June 2025
  • Industry shares differ by source: council's Statistics and Facts page lists health care 18.3%, education 11.5% and manufacturing 10.6%; ABS 2021 Census resident employment gives 15.4%, 8.2% and 9.2%. Ipswich City Council, Statistics and Facts · Council Statistics and Facts page; ABS 2021 Census
  • Council releases give different gross regional product for 2023: $13.73 billion (21 May 2024 release) and about $14.47 billion (2 June 2025 release, which also prints $14.48 billion); both cite National Institute of Economic and Industry Research State of the Regions figures. Ipswich City Council media release (June 2025) · Year 2023 (releases of 21 May 2024 and 2 June 2025)
Every item links to its source page; periods as labelled. The overview line and the demand against supply figures restate or compute from these items. Sources: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), .id (informed decisions), and council, state and federal government pages, with public health and university sites where named. Compiled 5 October 2026.
At a glance
  • Under $900,00019 of 59 ladder suburbs
  • House growth, 5yr average16.37% a year
  • Suburbs in the price band5, house medians $858,987 to $1,112,595
  • Weekly rent, those suburbs$560 to $738
  • Strongest and weakest scoreRentals 9.1, Yield 3

HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026

Open the Ipswich LGA report
  • Price vs reference budget 6.1
  • Yield 3
  • Timing 5
  • Rentals 9.1
  • Economy 5
  • Depth 7.3
The six questions, scored 0 to 10 against every tracked market.
Where this market sits
The market plumbing behind the headline numbers, read from the same council record. Each figure is shown against HtAG's published cut points where it has them; a figure the source does not carry is not drawn.
Supply and demand now
Vacancy
1.27%
Under 1%1 to 3.5%Over 3.5%
Share of rental stock empty. HtAG cut points: under 1% is its tight band.
Days on market
53days
Under 3535 to 90Over 90
Typical days a house takes to sell. HtAG cut points: under 35 is its fast band.
Stock on market
0.37%
Under 0.4%0.4 to 1.3%Over 1.3%
New listings as a share of dwellings. HtAG cut points: under 0.4% is its thin band.
Inventory
3.5months
Under 22 to 4Over 4
Months of sales the current stock represents. The balanced-market reference is 3.0 months.
The growth cycle
House price, 10 years
+197.2%
Total change in the typical house price.
House rent, 10 years
+85.5%
Total change in the median house rent.
Growth pattern deviation, 5 year
+102.6%
Against its own long-run trend, 5 year average.
Rent growth, modelled
+2.8% a year
HtAG two year modelled rent change, annualised.
Risk and fundamentals
Flood safety
94/ 100
HtAG index, higher is safer. Property level overlays are checked at due diligence.
Bushfire safety
89/ 100
HtAG index, higher is safer. Property level overlays are checked at due diligence.
Economic diversity (EDI)
41
HtAG index of how spread the local economy is across industries.
Socio-economic decile (IRSAD)
4/ 10
ABS relative advantage and disadvantage, 10 is most advantaged.
Price volatility
6/ 10
HtAG volatility index for the house market.
Years of income to own
54.0years
A long-run trend line of median income against price, not a literal time to buy.
People
Residents
229,208
ABS Census 2021 count.
Median age
33years
ABS Census 2021.
Household income, weekly
$1,668
ABS Census 2021 median.
Rent, weekly (Census)
$330
ABS Census 2021 median; the market rent in the table above is HtAG's current reading.
Tenure, 2021 Census
Owned outright 20.2% (15,800) Owned with a mortgage 38.1% (29,717) Rented 39.4% (30,763) Other tenure or not stated 0.8% (644)
Source: HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026; ABS Census 2021.
How to read this market
See the evidence behind each score
In-budget depthYield at bandHas the run happenedVacancyLGA economyMarket depth
19 of 59 suburbs
at or under $900,000
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
3.12% median
in-band house yield
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
1yr median 13.53%
5yr average 16.37%
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
1.14% median
59 suburbs with data
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
GRP not captured
unemployment not captured
profitable sales: not captured for this LGA
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
60 suburbs
5,650 house sales, 12 months
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
In-band suburbs (inside the price band). Suburbs with a full report link through.
In-band suburbMedianYieldVacancyRent pwRent 12m
Blackstone$858,9873.63%0.69%$6006.57%
Wulkuraka$922,3173.2%2.12%$5674.81%
Yamanto$988,3753.28%1.3%$6234.35%
Newtown$1,016,4122.86%2.26%$5602.19%
Barellan Point$1,112,5953.45%3.64%$7386.49%
19 of 59 ladder suburbs sit at or under $900,000, in-band yield 3.12%, 1yr growth median 13.53% against a 5yr average of 16.37%, vacancy median 1.14%.
#2

Sunshine Coast

QLD
5.1
six question
score / 10
$1,285,000 to $1,965,000
price band screened
2.86%
yield in band
1.27%
vacancy
6,992
sales 12m
10.46%
house growth
1yr median
Demand and supply
2.0%
Population growth
yr to Jun 2025
3,221
Dwelling approvals
yr to Jun 2025
20,000
Caloundra South development area
dwellings planned, 30 to 40 years
0.95
New households per dwelling approval
implied, yr to Jun 2025
Investment and jobs
$296M
Council capital works
budget 2026-27
$5.5 to 7B
The Wave, Stage 1 rail
expected cost
15,000+
Maroochydore City Centre
jobs expected, project life
Sources and detail
  • House growth 1yr median 10.46%, 5yr average 8.93% a year HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
  • Population growth 381,957 residents, year to Jun 2025 (computed) ABS
  • Dwelling approvals year to Jun 2025; 8.4 per 1,000 residents (computed); year to Jun 2021: 4,409 ABS · population
  • Caloundra South development area dwellings planned over 30 to 40 years, up to 50,000 residents (council) Sunshine Coast Council
  • New households per dwelling approval about 3,064 new households (7,659 new residents at 2.5 people per household, Census 2021) against 3,221 dwelling approvals; computed ABS population · ABS household size · ABS approvals
  • Council capital works 2026-27 budget (adopted 1 June 2026) Sunshine Coast Council
  • The Wave, Stage 1 rail expected cost; construction expected to start 2027 Queensland TMR
  • Maroochydore City Centre jobs expected over the project life (council) Sunshine Coast Council
Why Sunshine Coast is moving
Population up from 374,298 to 381,957 in the year to June 2025, median weekly household income up from $1,275 to $1,595 nominal (2016 to 2021), Queensland Transport and Main Roads expecting Wave Stage 1 rail to cost $5.5 to 7 billion, and council expecting Maroochydore City Centre to create more than 15,000 jobs over its life.
Demand against supply, year to June 2025
  • Implied new households3,064
  • Dwelling approvals3,221
  • Households per approval0.95

7,659 new residents at 2.5 people per household. Dwelling approvals ran ahead of implied new households, a pattern that tends to ease competition for homes (a general pattern, not a forecast).

Read moreShow less38 sourced points across 6 topics
Demand against supply, in numbers
7,659new residents
÷
2.5people per household
=
3,064new households (implied)
vs
3,221dwelling approvals
=
0.95per dwelling approval

Reading it: a ratio of 1.05 or more means implied new households ran ahead of dwelling approvals; 0.95 or less means approvals ran ahead; anything between is described as roughly level. New households are implied (new residents divided by the 2021 Census household size), approvals are permits rather than completed homes, and one year is a single reading. The "why it matters" lines describe how markets tend to work in general; they are not a forecast for this market.

People and growth

Why it matters: More residents mean more households needing homes. Where dwelling approvals do not keep pace with new households, competition for homes and rentals tends to rise.

More evidence (5)
  • Council states Palmview, 926 hectares south of Chancellor Park, will support about 16,000 people in 7,000 houses, with the project expected to be complete around 2036. Sunshine Coast Council, Palmview residential community page · Completion expected around 2036
  • In July 2026 the Queensland Government announced $50.9 million to unlock more than 3,700 homes on the Sunshine Coast, including $46.6 million for the Southern Road Link in Palmview (announced, not delivered). Queensland Government media statement (24 July 2026) · 24 July 2026
  • ABS regional population data for 2024-25 shows Caloundra West - Baringa had the largest population growth outside the capital cities, up by 2,000 people. ABS Regional Population 2024-25 · 2024-25 financial year (released 31 March 2026)
  • ABS building approvals show 3,541 dwelling units approved in the Sunshine Coast SA4 (ABS Statistical Area Level 4), a wider region than the council area, from July 2025 to June 2026 (all sectors, summed from 12 monthly figures). ABS Building Approvals by SA2 and above (ABS Data API), SA4 316 · July 2025 to June 2026
  • ABS building approvals for Sunshine Coast were 4,409 total dwelling units in the year to June 2021, 3,824 in 2022, 3,459 in 2023, 3,303 in 2024 and 3,221 in 2025. ABS Data by region, local government area building approvals · Years ended 30 June 2021 to 2025

Jobs and industry

Why it matters: More local jobs can draw workers who want to live nearby, though many residents work elsewhere. A job base spread across several industries depends less on any single employer.

More evidence (1)

Infrastructure and investment

Why it matters: Hospitals, rail, roads, schools and employment precincts can widen the pool of people who live in and travel to an area, which tends to add to housing demand. Delivered, funded and proposed projects carry different certainty.

  • Queensland Transport and Main Roads says Wave Stage 1 (Beerwah to Caloundra) is expected to cost $5.5 to 7 billion, with $2.75 billion each committed by the Australian and Queensland governments, and that construction is expected to start in 2027, subject to approvals. Queensland Department of Transport and Main Roads, The Wave Stages 1 and 2 (Rail) project page · Project page, 2026
  • The Queensland Government states in a 31 May 2026 statement that the Australian and Queensland governments awarded design and pre-construction contracts for Wave Stage 1 (19 km of dual-track rail, Beerwah to Caloundra), with designs to be refined over 12 months. Queensland Government media statement, The Wave (31 May 2026) · 31 May 2026
  • Council's major projects register lists $400M State funding (Department of Transport and Main Roads project) for the Caloundra Road, Kawana Way Link Road and Bells Creek Arterial Road intersection. The register gives no timing or cost basis. Invest Sunshine Coast (Council), Major Projects register · Council major projects register, 2026 edition
More evidence (5)
  • A Sunshine Coast Council news article says works have started on the Caloundra Transport Corridor Upgrade, jointly funded by the Queensland Government and Council; the Mayor says it supports around 360 jobs during delivery. Sunshine Coast Council news, Caloundra Transport Corridor Upgrade · Council news article, current October 2026
  • The Sunshine Coast Stadium upgrade, a 2032 Games venue, would lift grandstand capacity from 1,046 to more than 10,000 seats; Architectus was selected as principal architect (25 March 2026 statement, design stage). Queensland Government media statement, 2032 Games venues · 25 March 2026 (design stage)
  • NEXTDC announced SC2, a high-density, AI optimised data centre, in 2025. Council's investment site describes it as a $200 million investment. Invest Sunshine Coast (Council), International Broadband Network · 2025 announcement
  • Council describes The Wave as planned heavy rail from Beerwah to Birtinya (Stages 1 and 2) and a metro-style Stage 3 to Sunshine Coast Airport, and states that the Australian and Queensland governments have jointly committed funding to deliver Stage 1 (Beerwah to Caloundra). Sunshine Coast Council, The Wave (Rail) project page · Wave announced March 2025
  • Sunshine Coast Council's Budget 2026-27, adopted at a special meeting on 1 June 2026, lists a $296 million total Capital Works program. Sunshine Coast Council, Budget 2026-27 at a glance · Budget 2026-27 (adopted 1 June 2026)

Socio-economic profile

Why it matters: When household incomes rise, buyers can bid higher for the same homes, which tends to lift prices where supply is limited. Median figures show the middle of the market, not the spread.

More evidence (4)

Renewal and neighbourhood change

Why it matters: Where an area shifts towards higher-skilled work and renewed town centres, who buys and what they pay can change, a pattern sometimes called gentrification. These items show the evidence on file, not a verdict.

  • The Queensland Government says site works began on 18 December 2025 on enabling infrastructure intended to unlock more than 1,800 homes in Maroochydore City Centre, backed by $82.9 million in state funding through the Residential Activation Fund. Queensland Government media statement (18 Dec 2025) · 18 December 2025 (site works commencing)
  • Council's Mooloolaba Foreshore Revitalisation: Stage One (Northern Parkland) is complete, Stage Two (Central Meeting Place, Southern Seawall) is underway, with construction anticipated to continue through March 2027. Sunshine Coast Council, Mooloolaba Foreshore Revitalisation project page · Construction from 14 July 2025
  • Council's timeline records Maroochydore City Centre milestones: Foundation Place offices opened (Oct 2020), Holiday Inn Express (May 2022), first residents into Market Lane (Jul 2022), City Hall opened (Dec 2022). Sunshine Coast Council, Maroochydore City Centre project timeline · October 2020 to December 2022 (Council page shows last updated 29 September 2026)
More evidence (1)
  • Council states the Walker Corporation agreement is expected to bring up to $2.5 billion of private sector investment into Maroochydore City Centre. The same page gives the area as both 60 and 53 hectares. Sunshine Coast Council, Maroochydore City Centre project page · Council page last updated 29 September 2026

Caveats and source conflicts

Why it matters: Funding gaps, conflicting sources and dated pages are the places where the evidence is thinner than the headline.

More evidence (4)
Every item links to its source page; periods as labelled. The overview line and the demand against supply figures restate or compute from these items. Sources: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), .id (informed decisions), and council, state and federal government pages, with public health and university sites where named. Compiled 5 October 2026.
At a glance
  • Under $900,0000 of 94 ladder suburbs
  • House growth, 5yr average8.93% a year
  • Suburbs in the price band5, house medians $1,294,364 to $1,931,096
  • Weekly rent, those suburbs$673 to $1,190
  • Strongest and weakest scoreDepth 9.5, Price vs reference budget 0

HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026

Open the Sunshine Coast LGA report
  • Price vs reference budget 0
  • Yield 1.5
  • Timing 6.2
  • Rentals 8.6
  • Economy 5
  • Depth 9.5
The six questions, scored 0 to 10 against every tracked market.
Where this market sits
The market plumbing behind the headline numbers, read from the same council record. Each figure is shown against HtAG's published cut points where it has them; a figure the source does not carry is not drawn.
Supply and demand now
Vacancy
1.09%
Under 1%1 to 3.5%Over 3.5%
Share of rental stock empty. HtAG cut points: under 1% is its tight band.
Days on market
53days
Under 3535 to 90Over 90
Typical days a house takes to sell. HtAG cut points: under 35 is its fast band.
Stock on market
0.35%
Under 0.4%0.4 to 1.3%Over 1.3%
New listings as a share of dwellings. HtAG cut points: under 0.4% is its thin band.
Inventory
3.1months
Under 22 to 4Over 4
Months of sales the current stock represents. The balanced-market reference is 3.0 months.
The growth cycle
House price, 10 years
+165.2%
Total change in the typical house price.
House rent, 10 years
+84.0%
Total change in the median house rent.
Growth pattern deviation, 5 year
+11.7%
Against its own long-run trend, 5 year average.
Rent growth, modelled
+3.4% a year
HtAG two year modelled rent change, annualised.
Risk and fundamentals
Flood safety
84/ 100
HtAG index, higher is safer. Property level overlays are checked at due diligence.
Bushfire safety
91/ 100
HtAG index, higher is safer. Property level overlays are checked at due diligence.
Economic diversity (EDI)
59
HtAG index of how spread the local economy is across industries.
Socio-economic decile (IRSAD)
8/ 10
ABS relative advantage and disadvantage, 10 is most advantaged.
Price volatility
7/ 10
HtAG volatility index for the house market.
Years of income to own
78.6years
A long-run trend line of median income against price, not a literal time to buy.
People
Residents
342,541
ABS Census 2021 count.
Median age
43years
ABS Census 2021.
Household income, weekly
$1,595
ABS Census 2021 median.
Rent, weekly (Census)
$440
ABS Census 2021 median; the market rent in the table above is HtAG's current reading.
Tenure, 2021 Census
Owned outright 33.9% (43,429) Owned with a mortgage 34.5% (44,168) Rented 27.3% (34,900) Other tenure or not stated 2.9% (3,673)
Source: HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026; ABS Census 2021.
How to read this market
See the evidence behind each score
In-budget depthYield at bandHas the run happenedVacancyLGA economyMarket depth
0 of 94 suburbs
at or under $900,000
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
2.86% median
in-band house yield
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
1yr median 10.46%
5yr average 8.93%
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
1.27% median
94 suburbs with data
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
GRP not captured
unemployment not captured
profitable sales: not captured for this LGA
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
94 suburbs
6,992 house sales, 12 months
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
In-band suburbs (inside the price band). Suburbs with a full report link through.
In-band suburbMedianYieldVacancyRent pwRent 12m
Aroona$1,294,3643.58%2.59%$8905.57%
Witta$1,408,6732.48%1.43%$6737.44%
Wurtulla$1,539,2442.91%0.93%$8604.61%
Hunchy$1,663,3012.29%4.17%$7314.87%
Glenview$1,931,0963.2%3.92%$1,19021.34%
0 of 94 ladder suburbs sit at or under $900,000, in-band yield 2.86%, 1yr growth median 10.46% against a 5yr average of 8.93%, vacancy median 1.27%.
#3

Logan City

QLD
5.1
six question
score / 10
$980,000 to $1,370,000
price band screened
3.05%
yield in band
1.32%
vacancy
7,043
sales 12m
12.92%
house growth
1yr median
Demand and supply
3.1%
Population growth
yr to Jun 2025
4,123
Dwelling approvals
yr to Jun 2025
51,500
Greater Flagstone development area
dwellings planned, 30 to 40 years
1.00
New households per dwelling approval
implied, yr to Jun 2025
Investment and jobs
$480M
Council capital program
budget 2026/27, approx.
$5.75B
Logan and Gold Coast Faster Rail
project total, jointly funded
137,224
Local jobs
2024/25
Sources and detail
  • House growth 1yr median 12.92%, 5yr average 14.73% a year HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
  • Population growth 403,515 residents, year to Jun 2025 ABS
  • Dwelling approvals year to Jun 2025; 10.2 per 1,000 residents (computed); year to Jun 2021: 4,688 ABS · population
  • Greater Flagstone development area dwellings planned, up to 138,000 people, full development 30 to 40 years (EDQ) Economic Development Queensland
  • New households per dwelling approval about 4,120 new households (11,949 new residents at 2.9 people per household, Census 2021) against 4,123 dwelling approvals; computed ABS population · ABS household size · ABS approvals
  • Council capital program capital program in the 2026/27 budget, around $480 million Logan City Council
  • Logan and Gold Coast Faster Rail project total, jointly funded by the Australian and Queensland governments (30 Sep 2024 statement) Queensland Government
  • Local jobs up 3.7% on the previous year, 2024/25 Logan Office of Economic Development
Why Logan City is moving
Population up 3.1 per cent in the year to June 2025, 137,224 local jobs in 2024/25 (up 3.7 per cent), 4,123 dwelling approvals in the year to June 2025 (ABS), and a $5.75 billion Faster Rail project jointly funded by the Australian and Queensland governments (2024 statement).
Demand against supply, year to June 2025
  • Implied new households4,120
  • Dwelling approvals4,123
  • Households per approval1.00

11,949 new residents at 2.9 people per household. Implied new households and dwelling approvals were roughly level.

Read moreShow less32 sourced points across 6 topics
Demand against supply, in numbers
11,949new residents
÷
2.9people per household
=
4,120new households (implied)
vs
4,123dwelling approvals
=
1.00per dwelling approval

Reading it: a ratio of 1.05 or more means implied new households ran ahead of dwelling approvals; 0.95 or less means approvals ran ahead; anything between is described as roughly level. New households are implied (new residents divided by the 2021 Census household size), approvals are permits rather than completed homes, and one year is a single reading. The "why it matters" lines describe how markets tend to work in general; they are not a forecast for this market.

People and growth

Why it matters: More residents mean more households needing homes. Where dwelling approvals do not keep pace with new households, competition for homes and rentals tends to rise.

More evidence (4)

Jobs and industry

Why it matters: More local jobs can draw workers who want to live nearby, though many residents work elsewhere. A job base spread across several industries depends less on any single employer.

More evidence (2)

Infrastructure and investment

Why it matters: Hospitals, rail, roads, schools and employment precincts can widen the pool of people who live in and travel to an area, which tends to add to housing demand. Delivered, funded and proposed projects carry different certainty.

More evidence (6)
  • The Queensland Budget 2026-27 lists new primary schools at Greater Flagstone and Holmview, a new secondary school at Logan Reserve, and Stage 2 works at Corymbia and South Rock state schools. Queensland Budget 2026-27, Logan regional page · Queensland Budget 2026-27
  • The state Residential Activation Fund committed $20 million towards a $61.3 million Flagstone priority development area development, described as unlocking 3,350 homes, and $10 million towards a $20 million Yarrabilba intersection, described as unlocking 4,900 homes. Logan Office of Economic Development (Logan City Council), Residential Activation Fund · 10 September 2025
  • Logan City Council's 2026/27 budget is $1.39 billion, including what council describes as a record $923 million for planning, maintenance and construction of infrastructure such as roads, water, wastewater, parks and community facilities. Logan City Council, Budget, fees and charges · 2026/27 budget (handed down June 2026)
  • Logan City Council's 2026/27 capital program is around $480 million, an increase of $75 million on the previous year. Logan City Council, Budget, fees and charges · 2026/27 budget (handed down June 2026)
  • Council's 2026/27 budget includes $468.4 million for water and wastewater, of which $89.25 million goes towards a new wastewater treatment plant at Chambers Flat. Logan City Council, 2026/27 budget media release · 2026/27 budget (23 June 2026)
  • Logan City Council described the Logan Indoor Sports Centre as a $142.1 million Olympic-standard indoor stadium to be built at Jacaranda Avenue and Democracy Way, Logan Central (announced September 2024). Council's current project page lists no dollar cost. Logan City Council media release, Logan Indoor Sports Centre (17 Sep 2024) · 17 September 2024 (announced)

Socio-economic profile

Why it matters: When household incomes rise, buyers can bid higher for the same homes, which tends to lift prices where supply is limited. Median figures show the middle of the market, not the spread.

More evidence (1)

Renewal and neighbourhood change

Why it matters: Where an area shifts towards higher-skilled work and renewed town centres, who buys and what they pay can change, a pattern sometimes called gentrification. These items show the evidence on file, not a verdict.

Caveats and source conflicts

Why it matters: Funding gaps, conflicting sources and dated pages are the places where the evidence is thinner than the headline.

  • Queensland Government statements gave Logan Hospital Stage 2 as $530 million in April 2024, to be completed by the end of 2026, against $874.7 million allocated in the June 2025 Budget statement. Queensland Government ministerial statement, Logan Hospital Stage 1 · 12 April 2024 versus 24 June 2025
  • Council's September 2024 release said the Logan Indoor Sports Centre would be completed by 2028. Its current project page lists commissioning and completion in 2030 and says demolition finished in April 2026. Logan City Council, Logan Indoor Sports Centre project page · Council project page, 2026 (versus 17 September 2024 release)
  • Council's City Pulse: Logan had 142,553 dwellings at June 2025. ShapingSEQ 2023 (the South East Queensland regional plan) sets 110,200 additional dwellings for 2021 to 2046; council's updated figures give 93,347 required by 2046, on a base date council does not state. Logan Office of Economic Development (Logan City Council), City Pulse · June 2025 dwelling count (City Pulse page updated August 2026)
More evidence (2)
Every item links to its source page; periods as labelled. The overview line and the demand against supply figures restate or compute from these items. Sources: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), .id (informed decisions), and council, state and federal government pages, with public health and university sites where named. Compiled 5 October 2026.
At a glance
  • Under $900,0005 of 57 ladder suburbs
  • House growth, 5yr average14.73% a year
  • Suburbs in the price band5, house medians $991,059 to $1,368,477
  • Weekly rent, those suburbs$595 to $1,227
  • Strongest and weakest scoreRentals 8.4, Price vs reference budget 1.6

HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026

Open the Logan City LGA report
  • Price vs reference budget 1.6
  • Yield 2.6
  • Timing 5.2
  • Rentals 8.4
  • Economy 5
  • Depth 7.5
The six questions, scored 0 to 10 against every tracked market.
Where this market sits
The market plumbing behind the headline numbers, read from the same council record. Each figure is shown against HtAG's published cut points where it has them; a figure the source does not carry is not drawn.
Supply and demand now
Vacancy
1.54%
Under 1%1 to 3.5%Over 3.5%
Share of rental stock empty. HtAG cut points: under 1% is its tight band.
Days on market
47days
Under 3535 to 90Over 90
Typical days a house takes to sell. HtAG cut points: under 35 is its fast band.
Stock on market
0.32%
Under 0.4%0.4 to 1.3%Over 1.3%
New listings as a share of dwellings. HtAG cut points: under 0.4% is its thin band.
Inventory
3.8months
Under 22 to 4Over 4
Months of sales the current stock represents. The balanced-market reference is 3.0 months.
The growth cycle
House price, 10 years
+162.9%
Total change in the typical house price.
House rent, 10 years
+72.6%
Total change in the median house rent.
Growth pattern deviation, 5 year
+89.0%
Against its own long-run trend, 5 year average.
Rent growth, modelled
+2.4% a year
HtAG two year modelled rent change, annualised.
Risk and fundamentals
Flood safety
89/ 100
HtAG index, higher is safer. Property level overlays are checked at due diligence.
Bushfire safety
85/ 100
HtAG index, higher is safer. Property level overlays are checked at due diligence.
Economic diversity (EDI)
55
HtAG index of how spread the local economy is across industries.
Socio-economic decile (IRSAD)
4/ 10
ABS relative advantage and disadvantage, 10 is most advantaged.
Price volatility
6/ 10
HtAG volatility index for the house market.
Years of income to own
53.0years
A long-run trend line of median income against price, not a literal time to buy.
People
Residents
345,098
ABS Census 2021 count.
Median age
34years
ABS Census 2021.
Household income, weekly
$1,616
ABS Census 2021 median.
Rent, weekly (Census)
$350
ABS Census 2021 median; the market rent in the table above is HtAG's current reading.
Tenure, 2021 Census
Owned outright 22.6% (25,423) Owned with a mortgage 40% (45,073) Rented 34.6% (38,998) Other tenure or not stated 1% (1,169)
Source: HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026; ABS Census 2021.
How to read this market
See the evidence behind each score
In-budget depthYield at bandHas the run happenedVacancyLGA economyMarket depth
5 of 57 suburbs
at or under $900,000
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
3.05% median
in-band house yield
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
1yr median 12.92%
5yr average 14.73%
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
1.32% median
57 suburbs with data
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
GRP not captured
unemployment not captured
profitable sales: not captured for this LGA
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
57 suburbs
7,043 house sales, 12 months
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
In-band suburbs (inside the price band). Suburbs with a full report link through.
In-band suburbMedianYieldVacancyRent pwRent 12m
Mount Warren Park$991,0593.3%3.19%$6296.96%
Flagstone$1,051,5992.94%5.54%$5955.48%
Windaroo$1,119,2093.76%2.13%$8108.72%
Belivah$1,255,5663.07%7.69%$7424.8%
Woodhill$1,368,4774.66%1.85%$1,22724.24%
5 of 57 ladder suburbs sit at or under $900,000, in-band yield 3.05%, 1yr growth median 12.92% against a 5yr average of 14.73%, vacancy median 1.32%.
#4

Moreton Bay

QLD
4.7
six question
score / 10
$1,085,000 to $1,645,000
price band screened
2.77%
yield in band
1.77%
vacancy
9,355
sales 12m
11.99%
house growth
1yr median
Demand and supply
2.1%
Population growth
yr to Jun 2025, prelim.
4,806
Dwelling approvals
yr to Jun 2025
25,000 to 30,000
Waraba development area
homes planned (EDQ, council)
0.88
New households per dwelling approval
implied, yr to Jun 2025
Investment and jobs
$454M
Council infrastructure and capital works
budget 2026-27
$142.5M
Old Gympie Road upgrade
2025-26 budget, 7 years
80,000
Residents commuting out for work
weekly, council Dec 2024
Sources and detail
  • House growth 1yr median 11.99%, 5yr average 11.75% a year HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
  • Population growth 532,445 residents, Jun 2025 (preliminary) QGSO
  • Dwelling approvals year to Jun 2025; 9.0 per 1,000 residents (computed); year to Jun 2021: 5,367 ABS · population
  • Waraba development area homes planned (EDQ and council plans) Economic Development Queensland · City of Moreton Bay
  • New households per dwelling approval about 4,212 new households (10,951 new residents at 2.6 people per household, Census 2021) against 4,806 dwelling approvals; computed ABS population · ABS household size · ABS approvals
  • Council infrastructure and capital works 2026-27 budget City of Moreton Bay
  • Old Gympie Road upgrade council 2025-26 budget, across 7 years City of Moreton Bay
  • Residents commuting out for work every week, council Dec 2024 City of Moreton Bay
Why Moreton Bay is moving
Population up 2.1% in the year to June 2025 (preliminary), median weekly household income up from $1,413 to $1,648 nominal (2016 to 2021), a $454 million council budget allocation for infrastructure and capital works in 2026-27, and a council target of 100,000 new jobs by 2041.
Demand against supply, year to June 2025
  • Implied new households4,212
  • Dwelling approvals4,806
  • Households per approval0.88

10,951 new residents at 2.6 people per household. Dwelling approvals ran ahead of implied new households, a pattern that tends to ease competition for homes (a general pattern, not a forecast).

Read moreShow less33 sourced points across 6 topics
Demand against supply, in numbers
10,951new residents
÷
2.6people per household
=
4,212new households (implied)
vs
4,806dwelling approvals
=
0.88per dwelling approval

Reading it: a ratio of 1.05 or more means implied new households ran ahead of dwelling approvals; 0.95 or less means approvals ran ahead; anything between is described as roughly level. New households are implied (new residents divided by the 2021 Census household size), approvals are permits rather than completed homes, and one year is a single reading. The "why it matters" lines describe how markets tend to work in general; they are not a forecast for this market.

People and growth

Why it matters: More residents mean more households needing homes. Where dwelling approvals do not keep pace with new households, competition for homes and rentals tends to rise.

More evidence (2)

Jobs and industry

Why it matters: More local jobs can draw workers who want to live nearby, though many residents work elsewhere. A job base spread across several industries depends less on any single employer.

More evidence (3)

Infrastructure and investment

Why it matters: Hospitals, rail, roads, schools and employment precincts can widen the pool of people who live in and travel to an area, which tends to add to housing demand. Delivered, funded and proposed projects carry different certainty.

More evidence (3)
  • Caboolture River Road upgrade (Morayfield Road to Grant Road) has Queensland Government and council funding and is part of the South East Queensland City Deal Growth Area Compact. Construction is expected from the first half of 2027 to 2028. City of Moreton Bay, Caboolture River Road upgrade project page · Council project page last updated October 2026
  • Council's 2026-27 budget, adopted 12 June 2026, includes a new flood-resilient bridge on Youngs Crossing Road, with completion expected for late 2027. City of Moreton Bay Budget 2026-27 · Budget adopted 12 June 2026; completion expected late 2027
  • Council's 2025-26 budget allocated $142.5 million across 7 years to the Old Gympie Road project at Dakabin and Kallangur. City of Moreton Bay Budget and Operational Plan 2025-26 · 2025-26 budget, adopted 13 June 2025

Socio-economic profile

Why it matters: When household incomes rise, buyers can bid higher for the same homes, which tends to lift prices where supply is limited. Median figures show the middle of the market, not the spread.

More evidence (1)

Renewal and neighbourhood change

Why it matters: Where an area shifts towards higher-skilled work and renewed town centres, who buys and what they pay can change, a pattern sometimes called gentrification. These items show the evidence on file, not a verdict.

  • Council's 2025-26 budget allocated $100.3 million across 5 years for The Mill at Petrie. City of Moreton Bay Budget and Operational Plan 2025-26 · 2025-26 budget, adopted 13 June 2025
  • Council's 2026-27 budget continues investment in Moreton Bay Central, including plans for a boulevard connecting Petrie station to the Moreton Bay Indoor Sports Centre. No dollar figure is stated. City of Moreton Bay Budget 2026-27 · Budget adopted 12 June 2026
  • Suttons Beach Pavilion redevelopment at Redcliffe is a $19.5 million project jointly funded by council and the South East Queensland Liveability Fund, under construction since early 2026 with completion listed as mid 2027. City of Moreton Bay, Suttons Beach Pavilion redevelopment project page · Council project page, August 2026 construction update
More evidence (1)

Caveats and source conflicts

Why it matters: Funding gaps, conflicting sources and dated pages are the places where the evidence is thinner than the headline.

  • In December 2024 council reported turning away 60% of industrial land enquiries for lack of available land, and that 80,000 residents commute outside the city for work every week. City of Moreton Bay media release, Narangba East employment precinct plan · 13 December 2024
  • Council says the Bruce Highway Western Alternative is currently estimated for 2041 and is asking the Federal and State Governments to fund and fast track it by 2032. City of Moreton Bay, Our Advocacy Work · Current October 2026
  • Morayfield South (about 900 hectares, 9,800 dwellings, about 26,000 people planned): the temporary planning instrument expired 17 September 2026 and a council scheme amendment awaits the Planning Minister; council states construction of its planned district sports park is not anticipated in the immediate future. City of Moreton Bay, Morayfield South Emerging Community Area · Current October 2026
More evidence (5)
Every item links to its source page; periods as labelled. The overview line and the demand against supply figures restate or compute from these items. Sources: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), .id (informed decisions), and council, state and federal government pages, with public health and university sites where named. Compiled 5 October 2026.
At a glance
  • Under $900,0001 of 78 ladder suburbs
  • House growth, 5yr average11.75% a year
  • Suburbs in the price band5, house medians $1,085,263 to $1,596,295
  • Weekly rent, those suburbs$579 to $788
  • Strongest and weakest scoreDepth 9.1, Price vs reference budget 0.3

HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026

Open the Moreton Bay LGA report
  • Price vs reference budget 0.3
  • Yield 1
  • Timing 5.8
  • Rentals 6.7
  • Economy 5
  • Depth 9.1
The six questions, scored 0 to 10 against every tracked market.
Where this market sits
The market plumbing behind the headline numbers, read from the same council record. Each figure is shown against HtAG's published cut points where it has them; a figure the source does not carry is not drawn.
Supply and demand now
Vacancy
1.38%
Under 1%1 to 3.5%Over 3.5%
Share of rental stock empty. HtAG cut points: under 1% is its tight band.
Days on market
57days
Under 3535 to 90Over 90
Typical days a house takes to sell. HtAG cut points: under 35 is its fast band.
Stock on market
0.32%
Under 0.4%0.4 to 1.3%Over 1.3%
New listings as a share of dwellings. HtAG cut points: under 0.4% is its thin band.
Inventory
3.5months
Under 22 to 4Over 4
Months of sales the current stock represents. The balanced-market reference is 3.0 months.
The growth cycle
House price, 10 years
+161.5%
Total change in the typical house price.
House rent, 10 years
+73.4%
Total change in the median house rent.
Growth pattern deviation, 5 year
+56.0%
Against its own long-run trend, 5 year average.
Rent growth, modelled
+2.1% a year
HtAG two year modelled rent change, annualised.
Risk and fundamentals
Flood safety
83/ 100
HtAG index, higher is safer. Property level overlays are checked at due diligence.
Bushfire safety
94/ 100
HtAG index, higher is safer. Property level overlays are checked at due diligence.
Economic diversity (EDI)
60
HtAG index of how spread the local economy is across industries.
Socio-economic decile (IRSAD)
7/ 10
ABS relative advantage and disadvantage, 10 is most advantaged.
Price volatility
6/ 10
HtAG volatility index for the house market.
Years of income to own
56.4years
A long-run trend line of median income against price, not a literal time to buy.
People
Residents
476,340
ABS Census 2021 count.
Median age
39years
ABS Census 2021.
Household income, weekly
$1,648
ABS Census 2021 median.
Rent, weekly (Census)
$360
ABS Census 2021 median; the market rent in the table above is HtAG's current reading.
Tenure, 2021 Census
Owned outright 28% (47,910) Owned with a mortgage 37.9% (64,798) Rented 31.1% (53,240) Other tenure or not stated 1.7% (2,869)
Source: HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026; ABS Census 2021.
How to read this market
See the evidence behind each score
In-budget depthYield at bandHas the run happenedVacancyLGA economyMarket depth
1 of 78 suburbs
at or under $900,000
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
2.77% median
in-band house yield
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
1yr median 11.99%
5yr average 11.75%
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
1.77% median
78 suburbs with data
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
GRP not captured
unemployment not captured
profitable sales: not captured for this LGA
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
78 suburbs
9,355 house sales, 12 months
HtAG API snapshot 31 October 2026
In-band suburbs (inside the price band). Suburbs with a full report link through.
In-band suburbMedianYieldVacancyRent pwRent 12m
Upper Caboolture$1,085,2632.77%3.34%$579-0.34%
Burpengary$1,160,9952.64%0.99%$5904.42%
Burpengary East$1,300,9772.49%2.61%$6236.37%
Mount Pleasant$1,428,2912.87%2.5%$7881.68%
Stanmore$1,596,2951.89%2%$5791.23%
1 of 78 ladder suburbs sit at or under $900,000, in-band yield 2.77%, 1yr growth median 11.99% against a 5yr average of 11.75%, vacancy median 1.77%.

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This report is built on HtAG Analytics data. We use AI to help collate it and to produce the report, and the figures are calculated from the data. If anything looks off to you, tell us and we will double check it.

Data sourced from HtAG Analytics

James Thompson
Licensed Buyers Agent
Rethink Residential
Reviewing strategist for the StratMap screen editions. This draft has not yet been reviewed.

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